Bountiful Alaska salmon harvest forecast for 2011

The 2011 Alaska commercial salmon harvest is forecast to be one of the largest since statehood -- but that doesn't mean prices will be coming down any time soon, a state fish and game official said on Sunday.

The Alaska Department of Fish and Game forecasts that 203 million fish will be caught this year, the fifth largest haul since statehood, thanks to a combination of good environmental conditions over the past few years as well as careful management by the state.

The harvest of pink salmon, the cheapest and most plentiful of the five varieties of Alaska salmon, will be especially large, totaling 133.7 million fish, according to the forecast. (Right: pink salmon swimming upstream to spawn).

The commercial pink salmon catch is expected to be 25 percent higher than the 2010 total.

The commercial catch of high-priced sockeye salmon (left), also called red salmon, is expected to total 45 million fish, an 11 percent increase over the 2010 sockeye harvest, according to the forecast.

"Probably the biggest influence of all is general conditions in the ocean for providing food, and those seem to have been favorable," Geron Bruce, deputy director of commercial fisheries for the department, stated.

But an abundance of Alaska salmon does not necessarily translate to lower prices, Bruce said.

Prices depend on international market forces, including general economic conditions and production from competing salmon suppliers, he said. He noted that the 2010 Alaska salmon harvest was large and, at the same time, fetched high prices.

"Cheap prices, I don't know about that. The salmon market's pretty strong," he said. Overall, Bruce said he's expecting another good year again for Alaska fishermen.

The 2011 forecast does not include complete projections for catches of high-priced Chinook salmon, also referred to as kings.

Information needed to complete those projections depends on terms yet to be set by the international Pacific Salmon Commission.

The total Alaska commercial Chinook salmon catch statewide in 2010 was 378,000 fish, according to the department.

The record commercial salmon catch was in 2005, with 221.9 million salmon harvested commercially, according to Alaska Department of Fish and Game records.

Source:
Reuters,"Bountiful Alaska salmon harvest forecast for 2011", by Yereth Rosen, accessed March 8, 2011

Once-in-a-century salmon run hits Canada's West Coast

It's good news for British Columbia's salmon fishermen, particularly those situated on the Fraser River - this year's Sockeye salmon run is the largest one seen in 100 years.

Every year Vancouver resident Stephen Ottridge takes hamburgers or steak to his street's annual summer block party. This year he arrived with a salmon large enough to fill the whole barbecue.

"There is a cornucopia of salmon this year, so we decided to treat the block to some," Ottridge said from the city on Canada's Pacific Coast, where marine experts are both puzzled and delighted by the unexpected glut of the bright-red, succulent fish.

After years of declining sockeye numbers and a struggling fishing industry, the Pacific Salmon Commission last week said it now expects 25 million sockeye will return to the Fraser River (left) this year -- more than double its earlier forecast and the best run since 1913. Industry insiders expected wholesale and retail prices for the fish to drop due to the abundance.

Last year, slightly more than a measly 1 million sockeye made their way back to their spawning grounds, prompting the Canadian government to close the river to commercial and recreational sockeye fishing for the third straight year.

The reasons for the salmon bonanza remain a mystery, but what has helped is that it has coincided with a "dominant-run" year, said Carl Walters, a fisheries expert at the University of British Columbia's zoology department.

"Every fourth year is the dominant year when the biggest run comes in. The year after that is sub-dominant. Then you get two really low runs," Walters said.

Twenty years of declining sockeye in the Fraser River led the Canadian government to launch an investigation last year into the disappearance of the fish at a time when numerous theories abound.

These include that climate change may be reducing food supply for salmon in the ocean, and that rising temperatures in the river may have weakened the fish.

Commercial fish farms that the young Fraser River salmon pass en route to the ocean have also been blamed for infecting them with damaging sea lice, a marine parasite.

While consumers are enjoying cheap salmon for the first time in years -- prices for fresh sockeye are down about 30 percent from a year ago -- the fishing industry is struggling to cope with the sudden bounty.

"It is an amazing thing but the problem is that this has come along when the market has been lost. Now we have all this fish and we can't do a lot with it," said Bob Fraumeni, owner of FAS Seafood Producers, which operates a West Coast commercial fishing fleet and retail outlets.

There are reports of fish rotting on boats as fishermen run out of ice and freezer space, and of tempers flaring as boats jostle for space on the water.

For now though, most are enjoying the bumper harvest.
The spectacle of the returning salmon has wowed many fisherman. Steve Johansen told the Vancouver Courier:

"Seven miles of solid sockeye—jumping, boiling, finning on the surface of the water. I’ve fished all my life and I’ve never seen this.”

But Johanson cautioned that this year's unexpectedly strong return did not mean the future for sockeye salmon is bright. The size of the return was not expected and many are stunned by the abundance of salmon. But those who know say the return will result in "overspawning" where too many future offspring will compete for scarce resources, resulting in a decrease in the survival rate for the young fish reported.

Meanwhile, despite the fears for the future of the industry, the people are enjoying the bounty that has dropped onto their plates.

"I've been in the business for 20 years and I've eaten sockeye from everywhere and this is, in my opinion, the best-tasting Canadian sockeye around," said George Heras, president of family-owned Seven Seas Fish Market in Vancouver.

Source:
Reuters,"Once-in-a-century salmon run hits Canada's West Coast", accessed August 31, 2010
Digital Journal,"BC's Sockeye salmon run the biggest seen in 97 years", accessed August 31, 2010