Don't Trust Experts' Forecasts, Study SuggestsThank you, INFORMS, for those words of wisdom.
Science Daily — A study about predicting the outcome of actual conflicts found that the forecasts of experts who use their unaided judgment are little better than those of novices, according to a new study in a publication of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences.
Thursday, August 30, 2007
Don't Trust Experts' Forecasts, Experts Suggest
Um....yeah. Sure.
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